Between Washington and Tehran: Pakistan’s Mediation Role in the US–Iran Ceasefire and Regional Stability
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.63544/ijss.v5i3.294Keywords:
Ceasefire, Diplomacy, Mediation, Middle-power diplomacy, Regional Stability, US–Iran RelationsAbstract
This study examined Pakistan’s mediation role in the US–Iran ceasefire process and its implications for regional stability. The research explored how Pakistan functioned as an intermediary actor in facilitating indirect communication between Washington and Tehran during periods of heightened geopolitical tension. A qualitative research design was employed using secondary data sources, including peer-reviewed journal articles, policy reports, and academic publications. The sample consisted of 50 scholarly documents selected through purposive sampling, including 30 journal articles, 12 policy reports, and 8 academic books published between 2006 and 2026. Thematic analysis was applied to identify patterns related to mediation effectiveness, geopolitical constraints, and regional stability outcomes. Findings revealed that Pakistan played a significant role in communication facilitation and short-term crisis de-escalation between the United States and Iran. The results also indicated moderate improvement in regional stability, particularly in reducing escalation risks in maritime security zones and improving indirect diplomatic engagement. Structural limitations such as economic dependency, power asymmetry, and competing regional interests restricted long-term mediation effectiveness. The study concluded that Pakistan functioned primarily as a stabilizing mediator rather than a conflict resolver. The research highlighted the importance of middle-power diplomacy in contemporary international relations and emphasized that sustainable peace between the United States and Iran required broader multilateral engagement beyond bilateral mediation channels.
References
Acharya, A. (2018). The end of American world order. Polity Press.
Beardsley, K. (2011). The mediation dilemma. Cornell University Press.
Bercovitch, J., & DeRouen, K. (2005). Managing ethnic civil wars: Assessing the determinants of successful mediation. International Studies Quarterly, 49(2), 345–365. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0020-8833.2005.00350.x
Bercovitch, J., & Gartner, S. S. (2006). Is there method in the madness of mediation? International Interactions, 32(4), 329–354. https://doi.org/10.1080/03050620600930989
Bercovitch, J., & Jackson, R. (2009). Conflict resolution in the twenty-first century: Principles, methods, and approaches. University of Michigan Press.
Byman, D. (2019). A counterproductive strategy: US sanctions and Iran. Brookings Institution Press.
Cooper, A. F., Higgott, R., & Nossal, K. (2013). Relocating middle powers. UBC Press.
Crocker, C. A., Hampson, F. O., & Aall, P. (2018). Handbook of conflict resolution. Routledge.
Davies, G. A. M. (2012). Coercive diplomacy meets diversionary incentives: The impact of US and Iranian domestic politics. Foreign Policy Analysis, 8(3), 313–331. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1743-8594.2011.00164.x
Destradi, S. (2017). Regional powers and the international system. International Studies Review, 19(4), 507–523. https://doi.org/10.1093/isr/vix023
Drezner, D. W. (2011). Sanctions sometimes smart: Targeted sanctions in theory and practice. International Studies Review, 13(1), 96–108. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2486.2010.00970.x
Early, B., & Peksen, D. (2017). Seeking punishment: The impact of sanctions on political repression. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 61(8), 1742–1767. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002715614952
Gause, F. G. (2010). The international relations of the Persian Gulf. Cambridge University Press.
Jones, D. M., & Ridout, T. (2015). Managing conflict in world politics. Oxford University Press.
Jordaan, E. (2017). The concept of a middle power in international relations. International Studies Review, 19(1), 89–111. https://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viw005
Karim, U. (2026). Pakistan’s mediation role in US–Iran relations: Constraints and opportunities. Stimson Center Policy Report.
Katzman, K. (2020). Iran: Politics, human rights, and US policy. Congressional Research Service.
Kreutz, J. (2010). How and when armed conflicts end. Journal of Peace Research, 47(2), 243–250. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343309353108
Kurlantzick, J. (2026). Middle power diplomacy and Pakistan’s mediation in the Gulf crisis. Council on Foreign Relations Analysis.
Kydd, A. (2006). When can mediators build trust? American Political Science Review, 100(3), 449–462. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055406062283
Maoz, Z., & Terris, L. G. (2018). International relations: A structural approach. Oxford University Press.
Mearsheimer, J. J. (2014). The tragedy of great power politics. Norton.
Melin, M. M. (2017). Dynamics of conflict mediation. Cambridge University Press.
Mir, F., & Ayub, M. (2026). Pakistan’s mediatory diplomacy in US–Iran relations. Pakistan Journal of Social Science Review, 5(4), 678–696.
Nephew, R. (2018). The art of sanctions: A view from the field. Columbia University Press.
Paul, T. V. (2016). The tradition of non-use of force: Pakistan and regional security dilemmas. Cambridge University Press.
Regan, P. M., & Aydin, A. (2006). Diplomacy and other forms of intervention. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 50(5), 736–758. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002706291058
Sahni, V. (2019). South Asia’s strategic hedging and regional security. Asian Security, 15(2), 89–105.
Shaikh, F. (2026). Strategic constraints on Pakistan’s mediation role in US–Iran diplomacy. Chatham House Middle East Programme.
Snyder, G. H. (2018). Alliance politics and mediation in international conflict. International Organization, 72(4), 987–1015.
Svensson, I., & Wallensteen, P. (2010). The role of third parties in mediation success. Journal of Peace Research, 47(5), 565–576. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343310372213
Takeyh, R., & Maloney, S. (2011). The self-limiting success of Iran sanctions diplomacy. International Security, 36(4), 63–96. https://doi.org/10.1162/ISEC_a_00034
Touval, S., & Zartman, I. W. (2015). International mediation in theory and practice. Routledge.
Touval, S., & Zartman, I. W. (2016). International mediation in theory and practice. Routledge.
Wallensteen, P., & Svensson, I. (2014). Talking peace: International mediation in armed conflicts. Journal of Peace Research, 51(2), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343313516617
Waltz, K. (1979). Theory of international politics. Addison-Wesley.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
Categories
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Zainab Mohsin, Muhammad Ameer Hamza, Sajjad, Waseem Saif

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
The work is concurrently licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License, which permits others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the authorship and the work's original publication in this journal, while the authors retain copyright and grant the journal the right of first publication.